Rain

We’ve got some great winter weather outside right now. We’ve also got a pool of cold upper air moving up from way down south. With only a few days until it arrives it would be great to have model agreement on what will happen. I’ve been holding out from writing a post until we had […]

Long Term

Writing this down in Newcastle where the alignment of the land means that showers moving swiftly north in the southerly air stream are clattering onshore once again. We’ve still got high pressure areas sitting to the south of Aus, and that is continuing to push showers onto the east coast. Not many making it into […]

Long Term

As we pass through the shortest day we’re now into a time of year when the sun strengthens every day for the next 6 months. It might not feel like it (with a record warm June to date) but the sun is currently as weak as it gets for us. While all this is going […]

General

Massive El Nino incoming – so why so wet? I’ve been asked this a few times this week and to answer it it pays to look at where we are now, as opposed to where we are heading…. Chance always plays a role in what weather we’ll likely be seeing, but the odds one way […]

Long Term

A few showers to come but no huge totals looking likely in the short term. Of much more interest – the latest monthly seasonal forecasts are now out – and they are all showing a very strong to record breaking El Nino developing later this winter. Ocean temperatures in the key Nino 3.4 region are […]

General

A quick post to acknowledge just how wet is has been recently. No huge rain totals but day after day (and week after week) of cloudy weather and showers. To highlight how consistent the showers have been here’s the daily rain totals for Bellingen over the last month: The good news – we’ve finally got […]


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