An animation of the last 24 hours of the Grafton radar shows smoke plumes developing over out of control fires to our North (that were at Emergency Warning level again yesterday). That smoke cleared last night as fire activity died down. You can then see rain developing to our south and a southerly change sweep north across the region – and then an even more extensive area of rain develop to our south through today. Of more interest to us is the band developing to our west:

We’ll likely see that sweep through later on today and into tonight…with hopefully some showers to follow. Still some reasonable totals being forecast by the models between now and the end of the week. Here’s the current forecast from the top three models:

Now a case of watching the radar and seeing what happens. If we get some good rain fantastic – but if you find you get a quick moving storm come through but not much to follow it’s worth keeping an eye out for lightning-started fires. Fingers crossed we don’t see any of them.