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We had one change move through overnight bringing us a little rain – only 1.2mm recorded in town. The next change moves through over the weekend and once again it will bring some bigger falls inland. As this one moves towards the coast there are some signs however that we could be in sweeter spot this time around, with winds turning onshore temporarily late Sunday and through Monday. With a cold change moving through up high there will be some decent instability around. Combine that instability with a whole heap of moisture moving in from the north west and onshore winds at low levels…and we could see some decent falls. It is still some time off so there is time for us to move back out of favour but right now we’ve got the models looking like this:

European Model – the best of the bunch:

American model – next best model around:

German model:

…and the Australian model – this is the only one not so keen right now…but was also the best at predicting the last system so definitely worth giving it a consideration:

I’ll post more as we get closer, but we are sitting below average right now and this is a good time to get some rain into the earth. Fingers crossed it comes together.