Change incoming, then seasonal stormy change

We’ve got a couple of higgher fire risk days today and tomorrow, but then we’ve got a change coming through overnight Saturday and into Sunday….before a bigger change next week. Models give a range of rain totals for this weekend – in which case the likely outcome is somewhere in the middle. Here’s the totals through the next 72 hours from a range of models:

Nothing huge there, but could see enough to dampen down the fire risk (at least temporarily) which is great. Once that change moves through we’ll see drier weather move back in but then through the middle of next week we’ll see more humid winds start to move down from the north before the next change moves in…and with warm waters to the north of Aus that means increased moisture and the likelyhood of the first big storm system of the season to move through. Here’s the lightning forecast for NSW from next Wed through Friday:

You can see that, at this stage it looks like the peak will be inland…however there is a lot of time for that to change. What it does show is the seasonal change kicking in and the start of the move away from winter dry and into spring storm season. No guarantees at this stage of either big rains or big storms for us, but there will be some good storms across NSW and SE Qld – and as we get closer I’ll post again with local updates 🙂

Thanks: Snapfrozen | Kombu Wholefoods | Meteologix

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