A horror day yesterday across much of Eastern Australia. There are multiple fires burning out of control – not something I need to list here. We all know what is happening. The bad news is that there is little if any rain in the 10 day outlook. Here is the model run:

Barely anything to be seen. Fire dangers will still be elevated today before another (what can only be described as) horror day for the east coast on Tuesday. You can see the Tuesday temperature peak here:

We’re likely to see multiple East Coast areas in Severe to Extreme once again on Tuesday – please keep watching official forecasts.

We’ve also got local rivers starting to dry up, with reports that the Upper Kalang is now dry. The Bellinger is down to 10ML/day. Severe restrictions kick in at 5ML/day.

The longer term outlook shows a weakening of the influences in the Indian Ocean and Antarctic Oscillation. That could be some time off however, so in the meantime I’ll keep looking for an elusive wet change, but there is no sign of that in any of the current forecasts.