How nice has the rain been over the last few days. We’ve been pretty lucky, with other areas missing out. You can see how isolated the rain has been in this map showing rain this month to date across NSW:
This map below is used by fire services to help assess fire risk. It shows how dry it has been the last 20 days across NSW – you can see the drier areas right around us, with the inland really missing out on any decent rains recently:
So despite recent rains across our region, many other locations are running dry during this traditionally wetter time of year. Looking ahead there is little rain in sight over the next 10 days. Here’s the forecast rainfall from two models, the first from GFS:
..and this from ECMWF:
When models line up like this it’s a good sign that they are on the right path and more likely to be right. Little rain likely over the next 10 days, temps in the mid 20s, lots of sunshine likely 🙂 Great for us that have seen the rain, possibly a worry for others who are still dry.
Some weather news and weather station updates…
The weather station is getting some much deserved TLC. There are two parts broken on the station and both spare parts are ordered and should be here within a week. Davis Instruments are aware how much the station is used in Bellingen so are rushing replacements to us. The river and rain pages are still up and running, using data fed in from the BoM.
The webcam is getting some love as well – expect to see some improvements on the page over the next week.
The weather today – actually a chance of some storms this arvo, mainly on the hills but potentially making it down into the valleys as well…with a chance of a shower or storm closer to the coast too. We’ve had a change move through, dropping temps but also bringing some instability and the chance of some rain. Here’s forecast totals for today:
Not much as you can see – suspect we could actually see higher totals if we get any storms, but that will depend in part on the cloud. We need some heat to generate decent storms so might be dependent on ocean heat generating storms closer to coast and moving inland.
After today….likely back to the dry for the next few days with some more awesome Autumnal weather. Enjoy!
With not much happening weather wise (other than increasing temperatures over the next week) a post of gratitude. Thanks to Kombu Wholefoods for giving me the time to put the posts together as well as the infrastructure to host and update the website and floodcam. Thanks to the awesome crew at Bellingen Ambulance station for happily hosting the weather station. Thanks to Bellingen Council for working hard whenever I ask to keep the view from the floodcam to the bridge as clear as can be. Thanks to this amazing weather community for all the comments, suggestions, emails and thanks over the years.
With Facebook changing the way it works it will likely get harder to get to see all our posts…so starting now we are going to be posting them onto our news page (at www.bellingenweather.org/news). The posts will be automatically posted to this Facebook page and also to our new Twitter account (twitter.com/BelloWeather) so feel free to grab the news and make comments wherever you want! Images will be posted in full and in context on our news page…not sure how they will come out on Facebook and Twitter but will work to make sure they work as best they can for everyone, regardless of whether you use the news page, Facebook page or Twitter.